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Trend of HIV/AIDS in Tigray Region

The trend in HIV prevalence in Tigray from 2005 to 2025 shows a fluctuating pattern with an overall decline followed by a sharp rise in recent years. According to data from the Ethiopian Demographic and Health Surveys (EDHS), the prevalence decreased steadily from 2.1% in 2005 to 1.2% in 2016, suggesting progress in HIV prevention and control efforts. However, a slight increase to 1.4% was observed in 2019, based on the Ethiopian Public Health Institute (EPHI) report, indicating a possible resurgence or stagnation in progress. Alarmingly, the latest estimate from Berhe G et al. (2025) shows a dramatic rise to 3%, signaling a potential public health concern that warrants urgent investigation into contributing factors such as conflict-related disruptions, reduced access to health services, or behavioral changes in the population. This reversal underscores the need for targeted interventions and sustained HIV response efforts in the region.

HIV Prevalence in Tigray